Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Québec


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last updated: Monday, May 30, 2022 at 07:53 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
28.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
31.9%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 31.9%
Change since last election: ▼1.8%
35.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
18.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.1%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 20.1%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
22.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
9.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 10.9%
Change since last election: ▲1.1%
12% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Bloc Bloc logo
26.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
29.5%
Bloc logo
Most likely vote total: 29.5%
Change since last election: ▼2.6%
32.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
4.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.6%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 4.6%
Change since last election: ▲3.1%
5.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.1%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.1%
Change since last election: ▼1.2%
3.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
23 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
36
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 36
Change since last election: ▲1
40 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
8 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
11
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 11
Change since last election: ▲1
17 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Bloc Bloc logo
22 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
30
Bloc logo
Most likely seat total: 30
Change since last election: ▼2
38 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Chart by Visualizer
Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—EeyouLIB2417143556BQ
Abitibi—TémiscamingueLIB221374855BQ
Ahuntsic-CartiervilleCON509131972LIB
Alfred-PellanLIB461492362LIB
Argenteuil—La Petite-NationCON381483226LEANS LIB
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—MatapédiaLIB201065814BQ
BeauceLIB116241338CON
Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-CharlevoixBQ193363652LEANS BQ
Beauport—LimoilouLIB2330122861LEANS CON
Bécancour—Nicolet—SaurelLIB151865254BQ
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—LévisLIB145362052CON
Beloeil—ChamblyLIB229105063BQ
Berthier—MaskinongéLIB1613204443BQ
BourassaBQ58891663LIB
Brome—MissisquoiBQ331783164LEANS LIB
Brossard—Saint-LambertBQ5313121713LIB
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-CharlesBQ184772152CON
Châteauguay—LacolleBQ361293354LEANS LIB
Chicoutimi—Le FjordLIB164462941CON
Compton—StansteadLIB351892784LIB
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalleBQ5013141373LIB
DrummondLIB1719134414BQ
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-MadeleineLIB46953622LIB
GatineauCON4812102054LIB
HochelagaLIB365232862LIB
Honoré-MercierBQ581191453LIB
Hull—AylmerLIB5012141374LIB
JolietteCON211075264BQ
JonquièreBQ292903750LEANS BQ
La Pointe-de-l'ÎleLIB318124514BQ
La PrairieCON271194752BQ
Lac-Saint-JeanBQ172744750BQ
Lac-Saint-LouisBQ531915382LIB
LaSalle—Émard—VerdunBQ408211984LIB
Laurentides—LabelleCON231174775BQ
Laurier—Sainte-MarieLIB354351762TOSS-UP
Laval—Les ÎlesLIB471991654LIB
Lévis—LotbinièreLIB135481843CON
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyneLIB399123162LIB
Longueuil—Saint-HubertBQ44893802LEANS LIB
Louis-HébertLIB362592370LIB
Louis-Saint-LaurentLIB155461753CON
ManicouaganCON182465112BQ
Marc-Aurèle-FortinLIB4413102814LIB
Mégantic—L'ÉrableBQ125941745CON
MirabelCON2114104365BQ
MontarvilleBQ3311104321BQ
MontcalmBQ181385075BQ
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-LoupBQ165442312CON
Mount RoyalNDP542510272LIB
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—WestmountBQ511521393LIB
OutremontBQ428281282LIB
PapineauLIB486241283LIB
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—VerchèresLIB241095212BQ
Pierrefonds—DollardLIB552213613LIB
PontiacBQ3029131584TOSS-UP
Portneuf—Jacques-CartierBQ145562123CON
QuébecLIB3319152561LIB
RepentignyBQ261095023BQ
Richmond—ArthabaskaBQ135362215CON
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les BasquesBQ241545115BQ
Rivière-des-Mille-ÎlesLIB331193864LEANS BQ
Rivière-du-NordLIB211395026BQ
Rosemont—La Petite-PatrieLIB204521760NDP
Saint-Hyacinthe—BagotCON2215144721BQ
Saint-JeanCON261494363BQ
Saint-LaurentCON582013613LIB
Saint-Léonard—Saint-MichelCON681110613LIB
Saint-Maurice—ChamplainCON411962752LIB
Salaberry—SuroîtCON261494614BQ
SheffordCON271474265BQ
SherbrookeCON3514162583LIB
TerrebonneCON281183959BQ
Thérèse-De BlainvilleCON331293862LEANS BQ
Trois-RivièresCON323003242TOSS-UP
Vaudreuil—SoulangesCON4417121971LIB
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-SoeursCON4813201072LIB
VimyCON4915112113LIB
Calculated Politics