Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Prairies


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last updated: Monday, September 20, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
18.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.1%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 20.1%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
22.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
39.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
43.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 43.5%
Change since last election: ▼11.1%
47.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
20.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.7%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 22.7%
Change since last election: ▲2.5%
24.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
2.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.7%
Change since last election: ▼1.1%
3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
9.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
11%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 11%
Change since last election: ▲8.8%
12.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
4
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 4
Change since last election: ▲0
11 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
12 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
18
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 18
Change since last election: ▼3
24 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
6
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 6
Change since last election: ▲3
13 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Brandon—SourisCON1253210014CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—HeadingleyCON355210030CON
Churchill—Keewatinook AskiNDP201452058NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—NeepawaCON1156130515CON
Elmwood—TransconaNDP103445039NDP
Kildonan—St. PaulCON3335210011LEANS CON
Portage—LisgarCON1161110016CON
ProvencherCON1158130712CON
Saint Boniface—Saint VitalLIB4127160511LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—EastmanCON96017059CON
Winnipeg CentreNDP3010450411NDP
Winnipeg NorthLIB4815230212LIB
Winnipeg SouthLIB452419058LIB
Winnipeg South CentreLIB4424170610LIB

Saskatchewan

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Battlefords—LloydminsterCON1059170112CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle CreekCON760170114CON
Cypress Hills—GrasslandsCON762140116CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverCON322535017LEANS NDP
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—LaniganCON954220213CON
Prince AlbertCON1347240214CON
Regina—LewvanCON1737320311LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'AppelleCON1446260211CON
Regina—WascanaCON1653190210CON
Saskatoon WestCON2331330211LEANS NDP
Saskatoon—GrasswoodCON2133340210TOSS-UP
Saskatoon—UniversityCON1736320212LEANS CON
Souris—Moose MountainCON767130012CON
Yorkton—MelvilleCON957180214CON
Calculated Politics