Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Prairies


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last updated: Monday, May 30, 2022 at 07:53 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
20.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 22.4%
Change since last election: ▲2.9%
24.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
44.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
49.8%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 49.8%
Change since last election: ▲0.8%
54.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
18% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 20%
Change since last election: ▼2.1%
22% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
2.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.5%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.5%
Change since last election: ▲1.2%
2.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5.3%
Change since last election: ▼2.8%
5.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
4
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 4
Change since last election: ▲0
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
14 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
21
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 21
Change since last election: ▲0
25 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Chart by Visualizer

Manitoba

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Brandon—SourisLIB126616015CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—HeadingleyLIB31597030CON
Churchill—Keewatinook AskiCON242938053NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—NeepawaLIB12689038CON
Elmwood—TransconaLIB143545033NDP
Kildonan—St. PaulNDP374614014CON
Portage—LisgarLIB116380117CON
ProvencherLIB165590515CON
Saint Boniface—Saint VitalLIB443416033LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—EastmanCON116514045CON
Winnipeg CentreLIB291846044NDP
Winnipeg NorthLIB551822032LIB
Winnipeg SouthLIB513014032LIB
Winnipeg South CentreLIB463415041LIB

Saskatchewan

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Battlefords—LloydminsterBQ1260160210CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle CreekBQ106316029CON
Cypress Hills—GrasslandsLIB106613029CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverLIB373820023TOSS-UP
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—LaniganLIB1252240210CON
Prince AlbertBQ185519026CON
Regina—LewvanCON214035022LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'AppelleBQ155524033CON
Regina—WascanaBQ46823022CON
Saskatoon WestBQ323529023LEANS CON
Saskatoon—GrasswoodCON223934023LEANS CON
Saskatoon—UniversityBQ174236023LEANS CON
Souris—Moose MountainBQ107111008CON
Yorkton—MelvilleLIB126116038CON
Calculated Politics