Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Prairies


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last updated: Wednesday, January 12, 2022 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
21.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
24%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 24%
Change since last election: ▲4.5%
26.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
30.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
34.1%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 34.1%
Change since last election: ▼14.8%
37.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
22.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 25%
Change since last election: ▲3%
27.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
3.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.9%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 3.9%
Change since last election: ▲2.5%
4.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
11.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
12.9%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 12.9%
Change since last election: ▲4.8%
14.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
3 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
6
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 6
Change since last election: ▲2
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
6 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
15
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 15
Change since last election: ▼6
20 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
7
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 7
Change since last election: ▲4
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Brandon—SourisLIB1450210213CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—HeadingleyLIB37479060CON
Churchill—Keewatinook AskiCON2415410119NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—NeepawaLIB1350130717CON
Elmwood—TransconaLIB142149079NDP
Kildonan—St. PaulNDP403018029LIB
Portage—LisgarLIB1344110230CON
ProvencherLIB16361101026CON
Saint Boniface—Saint VitalLIB462019069LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—EastmanCON13481801011CON
Winnipeg CentreLIB29449089NDP
Winnipeg NorthLIB56724067LIB
Winnipeg SouthLIB521717077LIB
Winnipeg South CentreLIB482018086LIB

Saskatchewan

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Battlefords—LloydminsterBQ1244210023CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle CreekBQ1145220021CON
Cypress Hills—GrasslandsLIB1149190020CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverLIB3924260011LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—LaniganLIB1338290119CON
Prince AlbertBQ1840250116CON
Regina—LewvanCON222741019NDP
Regina—Qu'AppelleBQ1640330110CON
Regina—WascanaBQ55233019CON
Saskatoon WestBQ3323340111LEANS NDP
Saskatoon—GrasswoodCON2224430110NDP
Saskatoon—UniversityBQ1928420011NDP
Souris—Moose MountainBQ1154160019CON
Yorkton—MelvilleLIB1343230119CON
Calculated Politics