Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Northern Canada


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last updated: Friday, May 28, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
34.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
38.5%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 38.5%
Change since last election: ▲3.4%
42.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
28.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
31.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 31.7%
Change since last election: ▲2.8%
34.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.7%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18.7%
Change since last election: ▼7.2%
20.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
6.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.8%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.8%
Change since last election: ▼2%
7.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4.4%
Change since last election: ▲3.1%
4.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Yukon

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Yukon LIB 37 35 15 0 8 5 LEANS LIB

Northwest Territories

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Northwest Territories LIB 43 28 15 0 8 5 LIB

Nunavut

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Nunavut NDP 34 30 34 0 0 2 TOSS-UP
Calculated Politics