Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Northern Canada


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last updated: Wednesday, January 12, 2022 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
31.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
35.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 35.4%
Change since last election: ▼0.1%
38.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
24.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
27.6%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 27.6%
Change since last election: ▲7.2%
30.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
20.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.8%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 22.8%
Change since last election: ▼7.5%
25.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.4%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 3.4%
Change since last election: ▲0.5%
3.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
9.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 10.8%
Change since last election: ▼0.1%
11.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Yukon

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
YukonLIB3333150513TOSS-UP

Northwest Territories

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Northwest TerritoriesLIB3921250313LIB

Nunavut

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
NunavutNDP362440000LEANS NDP
Calculated Politics