Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Northern Canada


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last updated: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 20:15 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
34.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
38%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 38%
Change since last election: ▲2.9%
41.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
28.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
32.2%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 32.2%
Change since last election: ▲3.3%
35.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
18.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 20.4%
Change since last election: ▼5.5%
22.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
5.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.2%
Change since last election: ▼2.6%
6.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.2%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.2%
Change since last election: ▲1.9%
3.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Yukon

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Yukon LIB 37 36 17 0 8 3 TOSS-UP

Northwest Territories

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Northwest Territories LIB 43 29 17 0 8 4 LIB

Nunavut

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Nunavut NDP 33 30 36 0 0 1 LEANS NDP
Calculated Politics