Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: British Columbia


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last updated: Monday, September 20, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
21.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
24.1%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 24.1%
Change since last election: ▼2%
26.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
30.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
34%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 34%
Change since last election: ▼0.1%
37.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
27.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
30.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 30.1%
Change since last election: ▲5.7%
33.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
5.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.4%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.4%
Change since last election: ▼6.1%
7.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5.4%
Change since last election: ▲2.5%
5.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
8
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 8
Change since last election: ▼3
15 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
10 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
18
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 18
Change since last election: ▲1
26 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
8 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
14
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 14
Change since last election: ▲3
22 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▼1
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
AbbotsfordCON234821035CON
Burnaby North—SeymourLIB331836058LEANS NDP
Burnaby SouthNDP202747014NDP
Cariboo—Prince GeorgeCON195119056CON
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—NicolaCON215220035CON
Chilliwack—HopeCON214621057CON
Cloverdale—Langley CityCON2842170013CON
Coquitlam—Port CoquitlamLIB323035004LEANS NDP
Courtenay—AlberniNDP113147092NDP
Cowichan—Malahat—LangfordNDP1328420125NDP
DeltaLIB323821026LEANS CON
Esquimalt—Saanich—SookeNDP1618400197NDP
Fleetwood—Port KellsLIB353129015LEANS LIB
Kamloops—Thompson—CaribooCON264317085CON
Kelowna—Lake CountryCON285015025CON
Kootenay—ColumbiaCON94240045LEANS CON
Langley—AldergroveCON234720037CON
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser CanyonCON244124055CON
Nanaimo—LadysmithGRN1324280295TOSS-UP
New Westminster—BurnabyNDP202250035NDP
North Island—Powell RiverNDP132945085NDP
North Okanagan—ShuswapCON204919067CON
North VancouverLIB412523064LIB
Pitt Meadows—Maple RidgeCON293333005TOSS-UP
Port Moody—CoquitlamCON283533004LEANS CON
Prince George—Peace River—Northern RockiesCON126713026CON
Richmond CentreCON264918025CON
Saanich—Gulf IslandsGRN1721210374GRN
Skeena—Bulkley ValleyNDP1030450411NDP
South Okanagan—West KootenayNDP143641036LEANS NDP
South Surrey—White RockCON403720003LEANS LIB
Steveston—Richmond EastCON324219034LEANS CON
Surrey CentreLIB262639027NDP
Surrey—NewtonLIB441834004LEANS LIB
Vancouver CentreLIB392128075LIB
Vancouver EastNDP181059085NDP
Vancouver GranvilleOTH343324018TOSS-UP
Vancouver KingswayNDP191759023NDP
Vancouver QuadraLIB442619084LIB
Vancouver SouthLIB373425003LEANS LIB
VictoriaNDP2411400204NDP
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryLIB254615086CON
Calculated Politics