Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: British Columbia


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last updated: Friday, May 28, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
27.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
30.5%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 30.5%
Change since last election: ▲4.4%
33.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
27.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
30.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 30.5%
Change since last election: ▼3.6%
33.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
23.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
26.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 26.1%
Change since last election: ▲1.7%
28.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
8.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
9.1%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 9.1%
Change since last election: ▼3.4%
10% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.8%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
4.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
7 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
16
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 16
Change since last election: ▲5
22 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
7 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
13
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 13
Change since last election: ▼4
21 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
5 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
10
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 10
Change since last election: ▼1
17 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Abbotsford CON 23 50 19 0 5 3 CON
Burnaby North—Seymour LIB 44 7 40 0 6 3 LEANS LIB
Burnaby South NDP 22 23 49 0 4 3 NDP
Cariboo—Prince George CON 23 51 17 0 6 3 CON
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola CON 31 41 19 0 5 3 CON
Chilliwack—Hope CON 21 48 18 0 7 5 CON
Cloverdale—Langley City CON 38 35 21 0 4 2 LEANS LIB
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LIB 41 30 22 0 5 2 LIB
Courtenay—Alberni NDP 14 31 45 0 9 1 NDP
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford NDP 20 20 40 0 17 2 NDP
Delta LIB 43 30 18 0 4 4 LIB
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke NDP 21 16 39 0 21 3 NDP
Fleetwood—Port Kells LIB 42 33 18 0 3 5 LEANS LIB
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo CON 31 42 8 0 12 8 CON
Kelowna—Lake Country CON 40 39 14 0 5 3 TOSS-UP
Kootenay—Columbia CON 11 43 37 0 7 3 LEANS CON
Langley—Aldergrove CON 29 44 19 0 5 3 CON
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon CON 31 40 17 0 9 3 LEANS CON
Nanaimo—Ladysmith GRN 17 25 27 0 28 3 TOSS-UP
New Westminster—Burnaby NDP 28 16 48 0 5 3 NDP
North Island—Powell River NDP 14 30 42 0 11 3 NDP
North Okanagan—Shuswap CON 26 46 18 0 8 3 CON
North Vancouver LIB 49 23 16 0 10 2 LIB
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge CON 33 35 25 0 5 3 LEANS CON
Port Moody—Coquitlam CON 35 25 34 0 5 2 LEANS LIB
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CON 13 68 11 0 4 4 CON
Richmond Centre CON 32 46 17 0 4 2 CON
Saanich—Gulf Islands GRN 21 18 13 0 47 2 GRN
Skeena—Bulkley Valley NDP 14 31 44 0 5 7 NDP
South Okanagan—West Kootenay NDP 22 28 41 0 6 3 NDP
South Surrey—White Rock CON 39 41 13 0 6 2 LEANS CON
Steveston—Richmond East CON 39 39 17 0 5 1 TOSS-UP
Surrey Centre LIB 44 22 26 0 4 4 LIB
Surrey—Newton LIB 49 18 30 0 1 2 LIB
Vancouver Centre LIB 49 14 25 0 9 3 LIB
Vancouver East NDP 22 9 55 0 12 1 NDP
Vancouver Granville OTH 24 19 9 0 3 45 OTH
Vancouver Kingsway NDP 28 17 49 0 4 2 NDP
Vancouver Quadra LIB 48 25 17 0 8 2 LIB
Vancouver South LIB 49 26 20 0 3 2 LIB
Victoria NDP 45 14 30 0 9 3 LIB
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LIB 40 24 16 0 18 2 LIB
Calculated Politics