Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: British Columbia


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last updated: Monday, May 30, 2022 at 07:53 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
22.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
24.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 24.8%
Change since last election: ▼2.1%
27.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
30% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
33.4%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 33.4%
Change since last election: ▲0.3%
36.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
25.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
28.8%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 28.8%
Change since last election: ▼0.5%
31.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
7.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 7.7%
Change since last election: ▲2.3%
8.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5.3%
Change since last election: ▲0%
5.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
5 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
12
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 12
Change since last election: ▼3
16 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
12 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
17
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 17
Change since last election: ▲4
25 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
7 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
11
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 11
Change since last election: ▼2
18 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲1
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Chart by Visualizer
Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
AbbotsfordLIB234717068CON
Burnaby North—SeymourLIB372530053LIB
Burnaby SouthLIB292241054NDP
Cariboo—Prince GeorgeNDP155219068CON
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—NicolaLIB204721058CON
Chilliwack—HopeNDP164527058CON
Cloverdale—Langley CityLIB3444110110CON
Coquitlam—Port CoquitlamLIB383027014LIB
Courtenay—AlberniNDP123243085NDP
Cowichan—Malahat—LangfordLIB152743086NDP
DeltaCON304220054CON
Esquimalt—Saanich—SookeCON1920440125NDP
Fleetwood—Port KellsNDP453019043LIB
Kamloops—Thompson—CaribooCON174427066CON
Kelowna—Lake CountryNDP264518057CON
Kootenay—ColumbiaCON84137067LEANS CON
Langley—AldergroveCON244620055CON
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser CanyonCON234419077CON
Nanaimo—LadysmithLIB1226270315LEANS GRN
New Westminster—BurnabyCON231849064NDP
North Island—Powell RiverNDP123341095NDP
North Okanagan—ShuswapLIB1746190810CON
North VancouverLIB442719072LIB
Pitt Meadows—Maple RidgeLIB243830017CON
Port Moody—CoquitlamLIB303431014LEANS CON
Prince George—Peace River—Northern RockiesLIB859140614CON
Richmond CentreLIB373619052LEANS LIB
Saanich—Gulf IslandsCON1520160463GRN
Skeena—Bulkley ValleyLIB736410610LEANS NDP
South Okanagan—West KootenayCON113442067NDP
South Surrey—White RockLIB384215014LEANS CON
Steveston—Richmond EastCON413320042LIB
Surrey CentreLIB352431046LEANS LIB
Surrey—NewtonCON541625014LIB
Vancouver CentreLIB402030063LIB
Vancouver EastLIB189570115NDP
Vancouver GranvilleCON333033040TOSS-UP
Vancouver KingswayLIB261352063NDP
Vancouver QuadraLIB432818092LIB
Vancouver SouthLIB502124013LIB
VictoriaLIB2512440154NDP
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryLIB234924004CON
Calculated Politics