Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: British Columbia


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last updated: Wednesday, January 12, 2022 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
24.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
27.6%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 27.6%
Change since last election: ▲0.7%
30.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
22.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 25.5%
Change since last election: ▼7.6%
28% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
25.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
27.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 27.9%
Change since last election: ▼1.4%
30.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
6.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
7.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 7.2%
Change since last election: ▲1.8%
7.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
10.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
11.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 11.8%
Change since last election: ▲6.5%
12.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
9 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
16
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 16
Change since last election: ▲1
21 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
6 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
12
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 12
Change since last election: ▼1
20 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
8 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
12
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 12
Change since last election: ▼1
20 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲1
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
AbbotsfordLIB2637170516CON
Burnaby North—SeymourLIB411829058LIB
Burnaby SouthLIB321540059NDP
Cariboo—Prince GeorgeNDP1842180517CON
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—NicolaLIB2238200415CON
Chilliwack—HopeNDP1835260416CON
Cloverdale—Langley CityLIB3634100119LEANS LIB
Coquitlam—Port CoquitlamLIB4122260110LIB
Courtenay—AlberniNDP1524420712NDP
Cowichan—Malahat—LangfordLIB1820420813NDP
DeltaCON343319049TOSS-UP
Esquimalt—Saanich—SookeCON22134301211NDP
Fleetwood—Port KellsNDP482318038LIB
Kamloops—Thompson—CaribooCON2035260513CON
Kelowna—Lake CountryNDP2836170514LEANS CON
Kootenay—ColumbiaCON1033360615LEANS NDP
Langley—AldergroveCON2737190512CON
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser CanyonCON2635190614CON
Nanaimo—LadysmithLIB14192603011LEANS GRN
New Westminster—BurnabyCON251248069NDP
North Island—Powell RiverNDP1426400812NDP
North Okanagan—ShuswapLIB1937180819CON
North VancouverLIB482019067LIB
Pitt Meadows—Maple RidgeLIB2729290114TOSS-UP
Port Moody—CoquitlamLIB3326300110LEANS LIB
Prince George—Peace River—Northern RockiesLIB947130526CON
Richmond CentreLIB412918057LIB
Saanich—Gulf IslandsCON1814160458GRN
Skeena—Bulkley ValleyLIB928400518NDP
South Okanagan—West KootenayCON1326410515NDP
South Surrey—White RockLIB4233140110LIB
Steveston—Richmond EastCON442519047LIB
Surrey CentreLIB3817300412LIB
Surrey—NewtonCON579230110LIB
Vancouver CentreLIB441429058LIB
Vancouver EastLIB2045501012NDP
Vancouver GranvilleCON382434040LEANS LIB
Vancouver KingswayLIB28751068NDP
Vancouver QuadraLIB472117087LIB
Vancouver SouthLIB531523019LIB
VictoriaLIB2864301410NDP
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky CountryLIB2641230010CON
Calculated Politics