Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: British Columbia


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last updated: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 20:15 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
29.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
32.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 32.4%
Change since last election: ▲6.3%
35.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
26.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
29.4%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 29.4%
Change since last election: ▼4.7%
32.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
23.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 25.9%
Change since last election: ▲1.5%
28.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
7.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
8.5%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 8.5%
Change since last election: ▼4%
9.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.8%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
4.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
7 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
18
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 18
Change since last election: ▲7
24 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
6 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
11
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 11
Change since last election: ▼6
20 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
5 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
10
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 10
Change since last election: ▼1
17 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Abbotsford CON 24 49 19 0 5 3 CON
Burnaby North—Seymour LIB 46 6 39 0 6 3 LEANS LIB
Burnaby South NDP 24 22 49 0 3 3 NDP
Cariboo—Prince George CON 24 50 17 0 5 3 CON
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola CON 33 40 19 0 5 3 LEANS CON
Chilliwack—Hope CON 23 47 18 0 7 5 CON
Cloverdale—Langley City CON 40 33 21 0 4 2 LEANS LIB
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LIB 43 29 22 0 4 2 LIB
Courtenay—Alberni NDP 16 30 45 0 9 1 NDP
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford NDP 22 20 40 0 16 2 NDP
Delta LIB 45 29 18 0 4 4 LIB
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke NDP 23 16 39 0 20 3 NDP
Fleetwood—Port Kells LIB 44 31 18 0 2 5 LIB
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo CON 33 40 7 0 11 8 LEANS CON
Kelowna—Lake Country CON 42 37 14 0 5 3 LEANS LIB
Kootenay—Columbia CON 12 42 37 0 6 3 LEANS CON
Langley—Aldergrove CON 31 43 19 0 5 3 CON
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon CON 33 38 17 0 8 3 LEANS CON
Nanaimo—Ladysmith GRN 19 24 27 0 27 3 TOSS-UP
New Westminster—Burnaby NDP 29 15 47 0 5 3 NDP
North Island—Powell River NDP 16 29 42 0 11 3 NDP
North Okanagan—Shuswap CON 28 45 17 0 7 3 CON
North Vancouver LIB 52 22 16 0 9 2 LIB
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge CON 35 33 25 0 4 3 TOSS-UP
Port Moody—Coquitlam CON 37 24 33 0 4 2 LEANS LIB
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CON 14 67 11 0 4 4 CON
Richmond Centre CON 34 44 16 0 3 2 CON
Saanich—Gulf Islands GRN 22 17 13 0 46 2 GRN
Skeena—Bulkley Valley NDP 15 30 44 0 4 7 NDP
South Okanagan—West Kootenay NDP 23 27 41 0 5 3 NDP
South Surrey—White Rock CON 41 39 13 0 5 2 LEANS LIB
Steveston—Richmond East CON 41 37 17 0 4 1 LEANS LIB
Surrey Centre LIB 46 21 26 0 4 4 LIB
Surrey—Newton LIB 51 17 30 0 1 2 LIB
Vancouver Centre LIB 51 13 25 0 9 3 LIB
Vancouver East NDP 24 9 55 0 11 1 NDP
Vancouver Granville OTH 26 18 9 0 2 45 OTH
Vancouver Kingsway NDP 30 16 49 0 4 2 NDP
Vancouver Quadra LIB 50 24 16 0 8 1 LIB
Vancouver South LIB 51 25 20 0 3 2 LIB
Victoria NDP 47 13 29 0 8 3 LIB
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LIB 42 23 16 0 17 2 LIB
Calculated Politics