Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Atlantic Canada


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last updated: Wednesday, January 12, 2022 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
37.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
42.1%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 42.1%
Change since last election: ▼1.6%
46.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
18.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 20.7%
Change since last election: ▼10.9%
22.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
19.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 22.1%
Change since last election: ▲5.2%
24.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
4.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 5%
Change since last election: ▲1.9%
5.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
9.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.1%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 10.1%
Change since last election: ▲5.4%
11.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
18 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
26
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 26
Change since last election: ▲2
30 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
5
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 5
Change since last election: ▼3
11 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲1
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Nova Scotia

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Cape Breton—CansoCON483480110LIB
Central NovaNDP4122230312LIB
Cumberland—ColchesterNDP3135200410LEANS CON
Dartmouth—Cole HarbourNDP440340517LIB
HalifaxCON30654036NDP
Halifax WestLIB461032048LIB
Kings—HantsCON3920270411LIB
Sackville—Preston—ChezzetcookNDP441627048LIB
South Shore—St. MargaretsCON363126052LEANS LIB
Sydney—VictoriaLIB492425020LIB
West NovaGRN364630113CON

New Brunswick

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Acadie—BathurstCON605160514LIB
BeauséjourLIB4911160716LIB
FrederictonNDP4414190186LIB
Fundy RoyalCON1936200817CON
Madawaska—RestigoucheCON618110416LIB
Miramichi—Grand LakeCON3632130712LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—DieppeLIB4315240613LIB
New Brunswick SouthwestLIB2236200715CON
Saint John—RothesayNDP4823120513LIB
Tobique—MactaquacNDP2139170715CON

Newfoundland and Labrador

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
AvalonLIB502420016LIB
Bonavista—Burin—TrinityNDP4825150111LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre DameLIB473613013LIB
LabradorCON382133009LEANS LIB
Long Range MountainsCON5920100110LIB
St. John's EastCON44940016LEANS LIB
St. John's South—Mount PearlCON501132016LIB

Prince Edward Island

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
CardiganNDP4521160810LIB
CharlottetownNDP4321170137LIB
EgmontCON42191401411LIB
MalpequeLIB3824140168LIB
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