Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Atlantic Canada


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last updated: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 20:15 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
42% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
46.6%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 46.6%
Change since last election: ▲5.7%
51.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
23.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.8%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 25.8%
Change since last election: ▼2.8%
28.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
13.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
15.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 15.4%
Change since last election: ▼0.4%
16.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
7.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
8.4%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 8.4%
Change since last election: ▼3.9%
9.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.8%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
4.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▲2
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▼1
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Nova Scotia

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 45 30 15 0 4 6 LIB
Central Nova LIB 49 25 18 0 4 4 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 41 28 18 0 9 4 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 51 14 26 0 6 3 LIB
Halifax LIB 48 10 29 0 10 3 LIB
Halifax West LIB 56 16 19 0 8 1 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 48 22 17 0 9 4 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 53 17 16 0 11 3 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 48 25 15 0 8 4 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 30 29 19 0 2 21 TOSS-UP
West Nova CON 42 37 11 0 8 2 LEANS LIB

New Brunswick

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 62 19 14 0 5 1 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 53 16 7 0 21 3 LIB
Fredericton GRN 38 28 2 0 28 4 LEANS LIB
Fundy Royal CON 30 44 10 0 11 6 CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 59 23 7 0 11 1 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 39 35 8 0 7 11 LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 49 21 11 0 13 6 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 30 47 9 0 9 5 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 42 30 12 0 7 9 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 29 49 8 0 10 4 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 59 24 14 0 2 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 51 36 12 0 0 1 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 55 31 12 0 1 1 LIB
Labrador LIB 47 28 25 0 0 1 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 51 26 20 0 1 2 LIB
St. John's East NDP 30 22 46 0 1 1 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 56 17 25 0 0 2 LIB

Prince Edward Island

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 55 26 7 0 10 2 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 55 19 6 0 18 2 LIB
Egmont LIB 47 32 6 0 15 1 LIB
Malpeque LIB 48 24 6 0 21 1 LIB
Calculated Politics