Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Atlantic Canada


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last updated: Monday, May 30, 2022 at 07:53 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
41.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
45.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 45.8%
Change since last election: ▲2.1%
50.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
24.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
27.6%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 27.6%
Change since last election: ▼4%
30.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
17.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
19.5%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 19.5%
Change since last election: ▲2.6%
21.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
1.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2%
Change since last election: ▼1.1%
2.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5%
Change since last election: ▲0.3%
5.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
24
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 24
Change since last election: ▲0
29 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
3 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
7
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 7
Change since last election: ▼1
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲1
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Chart by Visualizer

Nova Scotia

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Cape Breton—CansoCON50396005LIB
Central NovaNDP452721006LIB
Cumberland—ColchesterNDP314518015CON
Dartmouth—Cole HarbourNDP530350210LIB
HalifaxCON361149013NDP
Halifax WestLIB501729013LIB
Kings—HantsCON442525015LIB
Sackville—Preston—ChezzetcookNDP452426014LIB
South Shore—St. MargaretsCON373822020LEANS CON
Sydney—VictoriaLIB513020000LIB
West NovaGRN39532007CON

New Brunswick

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Acadie—BathurstCON661115027LIB
BeauséjourLIB561813049LIB
FrederictonNDP502217092LIB
Fundy RoyalCON2444200410CON
Madawaska—RestigoucheCON6314100111LIB
Miramichi—Grand LakeCON394111036LEANS CON
Moncton—Riverview—DieppeLIB492220037LIB
New Brunswick SouthwestLIB254518039CON
Saint John—RothesayNDP532811027LIB
Tobique—MactaquacNDP2250160310CON

Newfoundland and Labrador

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
AvalonLIB513017002LIB
Bonavista—Burin—TrinityNDP513212005LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre DameLIB484111000LEANS LIB
LabradorCON412530004LIB
Long Range MountainsCON59289005LIB
St. John's EastCON461637002LIB
St. John's South—Mount PearlCON551726002LIB

Prince Edward Island

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
CardiganNDP502715035LIB
CharlottetownNDP452916082LIB
EgmontCON482812075LIB
MalpequeLIB4332110113LIB
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