Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Atlantic Canada


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last updated: Friday, May 28, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
39.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
44%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 44%
Change since last election: ▲3.1%
48.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
26.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
29.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 29.5%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
32.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
15.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17.5%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 17.5%
Change since last election: ▲1.7%
19.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
5.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.3%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.3%
Change since last election: ▼6%
6.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.7%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 2.7%
Change since last election: ▲0.3%
3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
17 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
25
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 25
Change since last election: ▼1
29 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
6
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 6
Change since last election: ▲2
14 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Nova Scotia

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 42 34 17 0 2 4 LEANS LIB
Central Nova LIB 47 27 20 0 2 3 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 37 32 21 0 7 3 LEANS LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 49 17 28 0 4 2 LIB
Halifax LIB 47 13 31 0 8 2 LIB
Halifax West LIB 53 20 22 0 5 0 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 46 24 20 0 6 3 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 49 21 19 0 9 2 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 45 29 18 0 5 3 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 28 34 20 0 0 17 LEANS CON
West Nova CON 39 41 13 0 6 1 LEANS CON

New Brunswick

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 58 22 16 0 4 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 51 19 8 0 19 2 LIB
Fredericton GRN 37 34 4 0 23 3 LEANS LIB
Fundy Royal CON 28 47 12 0 8 4 CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 55 28 8 0 8 0 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 37 40 10 0 5 8 LEANS CON
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 47 25 13 0 11 4 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 28 51 10 0 6 4 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 40 33 15 0 4 7 LEANS LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 25 55 10 0 7 3 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 55 27 16 0 1 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 47 40 12 0 0 0 LEANS LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 51 34 14 0 1 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 44 29 27 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 46 29 23 0 1 1 LIB
St. John's East NDP 27 25 48 0 0 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 53 20 26 0 0 1 LIB

Prince Edward Island

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 53 29 9 0 7 1 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 52 23 8 0 15 1 LIB
Egmont LIB 44 36 8 0 11 0 LEANS LIB
Malpeque LIB 46 28 8 0 18 0 LIB
Calculated Politics