Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Alberta


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last updated: Monday, September 20, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
15.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17.2%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 17.2%
Change since last election: ▲3.5%
18.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
44.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
49.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 49.5%
Change since last election: ▼19.7%
54.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
17.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
19.2%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 19.2%
Change since last election: ▲7.7%
21.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
1.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
1.6%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 1.6%
Change since last election: ▼1.3%
1.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
11.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
12.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 12.5%
Change since last election: ▲9.8%
13.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲3
9 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
22 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
29
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 29
Change since last election: ▼4
33 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲1
7 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Banff—AirdrieCON1351170415CON
Battle River—CrowfootCON666120213CON
Bow RiverCON1064120014CON
Calgary CentreCON3137160411LEANS CON
Calgary ConfederationCON2638170712CON
Calgary Forest LawnCON2438170318CON
Calgary HeritageCON1751160313CON
Calgary MidnaporeCON1456160312CON
Calgary Nose HillCON2050160212CON
Calgary Rocky RidgeCON2250140212CON
Calgary ShepardCON1456160312CON
Calgary Signal HillCON1950150313CON
Calgary SkyviewCON3936120112LEANS LIB
Edmonton CentreCON3723290011LEANS LIB
Edmonton GriesbachCON183537028LEANS NDP
Edmonton ManningCON2435280012LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill WoodsCON3832190011LEANS LIB
Edmonton RiverbendCON264023029CON
Edmonton StrathconaNDP1318580110NDP
Edmonton WestCON2442230011CON
Edmonton—WetaskiwinCON1553200011CON
FoothillsCON863130313CON
Fort McMurray—Cold LakeCON1361110114CON
Grande Prairie—MackenzieCON864150013CON
LakelandCON766120213CON
LethbridgeCON1745260013CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerCON959160214CON
Peace River—WestlockCON961140214CON
Red Deer—LacombeCON858170016CON
Red Deer—Mountain ViewCON962150014CON
Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanCON1354200212CON
St. Albert—EdmontonCON2342230012CON
Sturgeon River—ParklandCON1057190013CON
YellowheadCON861150016CON
Calculated Politics