Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Alberta


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last updated: Wednesday, January 12, 2022 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
17.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
19.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 19.4%
Change since last election: ▲4%
21.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
39% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
43.4%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 43.4%
Change since last election: ▼12%
47.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
14.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
16.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 16.4%
Change since last election: ▼2.7%
18% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
0.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 0.7%
Change since last election: ▼0.2%
0.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
18.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.2%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 20.2%
Change since last election: ▲10.9%
22.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲1
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
29
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 29
Change since last election: ▼1
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲0
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Banff—AirdrieCON1543140126CON
Battle River—CrowfootCON75870127CON
Bow RiverCON115680026CON
Calgary CentreCON374014017LEANS CON
Calgary ConfederationCON3335140315LEANS CON
Calgary Forest LawnCON3232160218TOSS-UP
Calgary HeritageCON2147150116CON
Calgary MidnaporeCON1649160117CON
Calgary Nose HillCON2643150115CON
Calgary Rocky RidgeCON2643130116CON
Calgary ShepardCON1749150118CON
Calgary Signal HillCON2348120115CON
Calgary SkyviewLIB562550112LIB
Edmonton CentreLIB4121250013LIB
Edmonton GriesbachNDP1730400112NDP
Edmonton ManningCON2629280017LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill WoodsCON3928180015LIB
Edmonton RiverbendCON2935230112LEANS CON
Edmonton StrathconaNDP1116580114NDP
Edmonton WestCON2834210017LEANS CON
Edmonton—WetaskiwinCON1743190021CON
FoothillsCON105780124CON
Fort McMurray—Cold LakeCON105480127CON
Grande Prairie—MackenzieCON754100030CON
LakelandCON75880126CON
LethbridgeCON1843170022CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerCON1053110124CON
Peace River—WestlockCON848110132CON
Red Deer—LacombeCON849120030CON
Red Deer—Mountain ViewCON953120027CON
Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanCON1546180120CON
St. Albert—EdmontonCON2237250015CON
Sturgeon River—ParklandCON1048160025CON
YellowheadCON851100032CON
Calculated Politics