Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Alberta


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last updated: Monday, May 30, 2022 at 07:53 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
15.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17.5%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 17.5%
Change since last election: ▲2.1%
19.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
48.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
54.2%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 54.2%
Change since last election: ▼1.2%
59.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18.4%
Change since last election: ▼0.7%
20.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
0.4%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 0.4%
Change since last election: ▼0.5%
0.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
8.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
9.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 9.5%
Change since last election: ▲0.2%
10.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲1
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
25 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
30
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 30
Change since last election: ▲0
33 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▼1
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
0 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Chart by Visualizer
Riding name:IncumbentLib.Con.NDPBlocGreenOtherProjected winner
Banff—AirdrieCON1157170114CON
Battle River—CrowfootCON67190014CON
Bow RiverCON107090011CON
Calgary CentreCON374318011LEANS CON
Calgary ConfederationCON324813025CON
Calgary Forest LawnCON254619019CON
Calgary HeritageCON195716007CON
Calgary MidnaporeCON146118016CON
Calgary Nose HillCON264718017CON
Calgary Rocky RidgeCON255612016CON
Calgary ShepardCON136117018CON
Calgary Signal HillCON215814016CON
Calgary SkyviewLIB55347004LIB
Edmonton CentreLIB412429006LIB
Edmonton GriesbachNDP164437003LEANS CON
Edmonton ManningCON194132008CON
Edmonton Mill WoodsCON373620006TOSS-UP
Edmonton RiverbendCON274525013CON
Edmonton StrathconaNDP101964016NDP
Edmonton WestCON274719007CON
Edmonton—WetaskiwinCON1356220010CON
FoothillsCON969100012CON
Fort McMurray—Cold LakeCON969100011CON
Grande Prairie—MackenzieCON761140019CON
LakelandCON67180015CON
LethbridgeCON1456200011CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—WarnerCON965130012CON
Peace River—WestlockCON764130015CON
Red Deer—LacombeCON956160019CON
Red Deer—Mountain ViewCON866100016CON
Sherwood Park—Fort SaskatchewanCON115821009CON
St. Albert—EdmontonCON204727006CON
Sturgeon River—ParklandCON962190010CON
YellowheadCON858130020CON
Calculated Politics