Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Alberta


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last updated: Friday, May 28, 2021 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
18.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 20.8%
Change since last election: ▲7.1%
22.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
43.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
48.2%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 48.2%
Change since last election: ▼21%
53% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18%
Change since last election: ▲6.5%
19.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
4.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.5%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 5.5%
Change since last election: ▲2.6%
6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
6.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
7.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 7.5%
Change since last election: ▲4.8%
8.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
4
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 4
Change since last election: ▲4
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▼5
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲1
7 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 17 49 18 0 8 9 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 9 66 12 0 5 8 CON
Bow River CON 13 63 11 0 4 9 CON
Calgary Centre CON 36 36 15 0 6 7 TOSS-UP
Calgary Confederation CON 29 35 16 0 13 7 LEANS CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 29 36 17 0 6 12 LEANS CON
Calgary Heritage CON 21 50 15 0 6 8 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 18 53 16 0 6 7 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 23 49 16 0 5 7 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 26 48 14 0 5 7 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 18 54 16 0 6 7 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 23 49 14 0 6 8 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 33 33 23 0 4 8 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Centre CON 40 22 27 0 5 6 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 23 32 33 0 5 8 LEANS NDP
Edmonton Manning CON 29 33 26 0 4 8 LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 43 30 17 0 4 6 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 28 37 23 0 6 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 23 24 43 0 4 6 NDP
Edmonton West CON 27 41 21 0 5 6 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 19 51 19 0 4 7 CON
Foothills CON 11 62 12 0 7 8 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 16 59 11 0 4 9 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 10 64 13 0 5 8 CON
Lakeland CON 9 66 12 0 4 8 CON
Lethbridge CON 20 43 23 0 6 8 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 12 59 15 0 5 9 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 13 59 14 0 6 9 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 10 59 15 0 5 10 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 11 62 13 0 6 9 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 16 52 20 0 5 7 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 27 48 20 0 5 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 13 56 17 0 5 8 CON
Yellowhead CON 10 62 13 0 5 10 CON
Calculated Politics