Next Canadian federal election projection

REGION: Alberta


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last updated: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 20:15 (Eastern Daylight Time)

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
20.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.6%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 22.6%
Change since last election: ▲8.9%
24.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
45.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
50.6%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 50.6%
Change since last election: ▼18.6%
55.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18.1%
Change since last election: ▲6.6%
19.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
2.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.1%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 3.1%
Change since last election: ▲0.2%
3.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5.5%
Change since last election: ▲2.8%
6.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲3
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
22 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
30
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 30
Change since last election: ▼3
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
7 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Green logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 19 52 18 0 5 7 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 10 69 12 0 3 6 CON
Bow River CON 14 66 11 0 2 7 CON
Calgary Centre CON 38 38 15 0 4 5 TOSS-UP
Calgary Confederation CON 32 37 17 0 9 5 LEANS CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 32 38 17 0 3 9 LEANS CON
Calgary Heritage CON 23 52 15 0 4 6 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 19 56 16 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 25 51 16 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 27 50 14 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 19 56 16 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 25 51 15 0 4 6 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 35 35 23 0 2 6 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Centre CON 43 23 27 0 3 5 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 25 34 33 0 3 6 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Manning CON 31 35 26 0 2 6 LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 45 32 17 0 2 4 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 30 40 23 0 3 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 25 25 44 0 2 4 NDP
Edmonton West CON 29 43 21 0 3 5 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 21 53 19 0 2 5 CON
Foothills CON 13 65 13 0 4 6 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 18 62 11 0 2 7 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 11 67 13 0 2 6 CON
Lakeland CON 10 69 12 0 2 6 CON
Lethbridge CON 22 45 23 0 3 6 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 14 62 15 0 3 7 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 15 62 14 0 3 6 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 12 62 15 0 3 8 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 12 65 13 0 3 7 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 18 54 20 0 2 5 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 28 49 20 0 3 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 15 58 17 0 3 6 CON
Yellowhead CON 12 65 13 0 3 7 CON
Calculated Politics