Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Sunday, April 12, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
26.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
29.2%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 29.2%
Change since last election: ▲10.1%
32.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
35.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
39.1%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 39.1%
Change since last election: ▼15.5%
43% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18.1%
Change since last election: ▼2%
19.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
6.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.9%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.9%
Change since last election: ▲3%
7.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.7%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 6.7%
Change since last election: ▲4.5%
7.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
9
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 9
Change since last election: ▲5
16 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
9 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
16
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 16
Change since last election: ▼5
22 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Brandon—Souris CON 17 57 8 0 10 9 CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley CON 35 24 9 0 7 26 LEANS LIB
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP 31 14 44 0 6 5 NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa CON 18 57 10 0 8 7 CON
Elmwood—Transcona NDP 26 27 35 0 6 6 LEANS NDP
Kildonan—St. Paul CON 35 39 14 0 6 6 LEANS CON
Portage—Lisgar CON 13 65 4 0 8 11 CON
Provencher CON 20 57 9 0 7 7 CON
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital LIB 52 25 11 0 8 5 LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CON 18 51 15 0 10 6 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 44 11 31 0 8 7 LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 50 16 21 0 5 8 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 51 30 10 0 5 4 LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 54 22 12 0 8 4 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Battlefords—Lloydminster CON 18 58 14 0 5 6 CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CON 15 58 15 0 6 7 CON
Cypress Hills—Grasslands CON 17 57 11 0 6 9 CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River CON 44 21 27 0 5 3 LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CON 15 51 20 0 7 7 CON
Prince Albert CON 23 45 20 0 6 6 CON
Regina—Lewvan CON 26 32 29 0 9 5 LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'Appelle CON 24 40 22 0 8 6 CON
Regina—Wascana CON 53 26 12 0 6 4 LIB
Saskatoon West CON 17 28 43 0 7 5 NDP
Saskatoon—Grasswood CON 32 30 28 0 6 4 LEANS LIB
Saskatoon—University CON 26 32 30 0 7 5 LEANS CON
Souris—Moose Mountain CON 17 61 10 0 5 6 CON
Yorkton—Melville CON 17 55 14 0 7 7 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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