Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 at 19:08 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
24.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
26.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 26.8%
Change since last election: ▲7.7%
29.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
37% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
41.1%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 41.1%
Change since last election: ▼13.5%
45.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
19.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 22.1%
Change since last election: ▲2%
24.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.6%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.6%
Change since last election: ▲2.8%
7.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.4%
Change since last election: ▲1.1%
3.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
8
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 8
Change since last election: ▲4
14 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
10 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
17
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 17
Change since last election: ▼4
22 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
13 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Brandon—Souris CON 17 60 11 0 9 3 CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley CON 36 28 15 0 7 15 LEANS LIB
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP 29 14 51 0 5 1 NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa CON 18 59 13 0 7 2 CON
Elmwood—Transcona NDP 25 26 42 0 5 1 NDP
Kildonan—St. Paul CON 35 40 17 0 6 2 LEANS CON
Portage—Lisgar CON 12 67 8 0 8 5 CON
Provencher CON 19 59 13 0 6 2 CON
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital LIB 51 26 15 0 7 1 LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CON 18 51 20 0 9 2 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 43 12 35 0 7 3 LEANS LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 48 18 27 0 4 3 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 50 31 14 0 5 1 LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 53 23 16 0 8 1 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Battlefords—Lloydminster CON 14 60 17 0 5 4 CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CON 11 60 18 0 6 4 CON
Cypress Hills—Grasslands CON 13 61 14 0 6 6 CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River CON 38 24 31 0 5 2 LEANS LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CON 12 53 23 0 7 5 CON
Prince Albert CON 19 48 23 0 6 4 CON
Regina—Lewvan CON 22 34 32 0 9 3 LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'Appelle CON 20 43 26 0 8 4 CON
Regina—Wascana CON 47 29 15 0 6 2 LIB
Saskatoon West CON 14 30 47 0 6 3 NDP
Saskatoon—Grasswood CON 27 32 32 0 6 3 TOSS-UP
Saskatoon—University CON 22 34 33 0 7 3 TOSS-UP
Souris—Moose Mountain CON 13 65 12 0 5 4 CON
Yorkton—Melville CON 14 58 17 0 7 4 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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