Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Friday, February 14, 2020 at 20:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
21.7%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 21.7%
Change since last election: ▲2.6%
23.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
45.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
50.8%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 50.8%
Change since last election: ▼3.8%
55.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
17.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
19.6%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 19.6%
Change since last election: ▼0.5%
21.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
4.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.6%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 4.6%
Change since last election: ▲0.8%
5.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.3%
Change since last election: ▲1%
3.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
7
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 7
Change since last election: ▲3
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
13 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
18
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 18
Change since last election: ▼3
26 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
BrandonóSouris CON 12 68 9 0 7 4 CON
CharleswoodóSt. JamesóAssiniboiaóHeadingley CON 30 36 11 0 5 17 LEANS CON
ChurchillóKeewatinook Aski NDP 25 22 47 0 4 2 NDP
DauphinóSwan RiveróNeepawa CON 13 68 10 0 6 3 CON
ElmwoodóTranscona NDP 21 35 38 0 4 2 LEANS NDP
KildonanóSt. Paul CON 29 50 14 0 4 3 CON
PortageóLisgar CON 8 76 5 0 5 5 CON
Provencher CON 13 69 10 0 5 3 CON
Saint BonifaceóSaint Vital LIB 45 35 13 0 6 2 LIB
SelkirkóInterlakeóEastman CON 13 61 16 0 7 2 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 37 22 32 0 6 3 LEANS LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 43 26 24 0 3 4 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 44 40 11 0 4 1 LEANS LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 47 32 13 0 6 1 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
BattlefordsóLloydminster CON 11 69 15 0 3 3 CON
Carlton TrailóEagle Creek CON 8 69 16 0 3 3 CON
Cypress HillsóGrasslands CON 9 71 13 0 3 4 CON
DesnethÈóMissinippióChurchill River CON 33 32 31 0 3 1 TOSS-UP
Moose JawóLake CentreóLanigan CON 9 62 21 0 4 4 CON
Prince Albert CON 15 57 21 0 3 3 CON
ReginaóLewvan CON 18 43 31 0 6 2 CON
ReginaóQu'Appelle CON 16 53 24 0 5 3 CON
ReginaóWascana CON 41 38 15 0 4 2 LEANS LIB
Saskatoon West CON 11 38 45 0 4 3 LEANS NDP
SaskatoonóGrasswood CON 22 42 30 0 4 2 CON
SaskatoonóUniversity CON 18 43 32 0 5 3 CON
SourisóMoose Mountain CON 9 75 11 0 3 3 CON
YorktonóMelville CON 10 67 15 0 4 3 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!