Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Monday, June 8, 2020 at 10:52 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
27.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
30.6%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 30.6%
Change since last election: ▲11.5%
33.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
35.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
39.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 39.7%
Change since last election: ▼14.9%
43.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
13% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
14.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 14.4%
Change since last election: ▼5.7%
15.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
8.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
9.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 9.2%
Change since last election: ▲5.3%
10.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
5.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 6%
Change since last election: ▲3.8%
6.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
3 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
9
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 9
Change since last election: ▲5
17 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
10 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
16
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 16
Change since last election: ▼5
23 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
9 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Brandon—Souris CON 19 56 5 0 13 7 CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley CON 38 25 6 0 9 22 LIB
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP 35 14 39 0 8 4 LEANS NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa CON 21 57 6 0 11 5 CON
Elmwood—Transcona NDP 30 28 30 0 9 4 TOSS-UP
Kildonan—St. Paul CON 38 38 10 0 8 5 TOSS-UP
Portage—Lisgar CON 15 66 1 0 11 9 CON
Provencher CON 22 57 6 0 10 5 CON
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital LIB 55 24 8 0 10 3 LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CON 21 51 11 0 13 5 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 48 11 25 0 11 6 LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 53 16 17 0 7 6 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 53 30 7 0 7 3 LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 57 21 8 0 10 3 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Battlefords—Lloydminster CON 18 59 11 0 7 6 CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CON 15 59 11 0 8 7 CON
Cypress Hills—Grasslands CON 17 58 9 0 8 9 CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River CON 44 23 23 0 7 3 LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CON 15 52 16 0 9 8 CON
Prince Albert CON 23 47 16 0 8 7 CON
Regina—Lewvan CON 26 33 25 0 12 5 LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'Appelle CON 24 42 18 0 11 6 CON
Regina—Wascana CON 52 27 9 0 8 4 LIB
Saskatoon West CON 17 30 38 0 9 6 LEANS NDP
Saskatoon—Grasswood CON 32 31 24 0 9 4 TOSS-UP
Saskatoon—University CON 26 33 26 0 9 6 LEANS CON
Souris—Moose Mountain CON 17 62 7 0 7 6 CON
Yorkton—Melville CON 16 57 11 0 9 7 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!