Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
28.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
31.9%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 31.9%
Change since last election: ▲12.8%
35.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
37.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
41.9%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 41.9%
Change since last election: ▼12.7%
46.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.6%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 18.6%
Change since last election: ▼1.5%
20.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.2%
Change since last election: ▼1.7%
2.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 5.3%
Change since last election: ▲3.1%
5.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
3 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
8
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 8
Change since last election: ▲4
16 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
10 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
17
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 17
Change since last election: ▼4
23 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲0
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Brandon—Souris CON 20 60 9 0 4 7 CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley CON 40 26 10 0 2 22 LIB
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP 35 15 45 0 2 3 LEANS NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa CON 22 60 10 0 3 5 CON
Elmwood—Transcona NDP 31 28 36 0 1 4 LEANS NDP
Kildonan—St. Paul CON 39 40 14 0 2 5 TOSS-UP
Portage—Lisgar CON 16 68 4 0 3 9 CON
Provencher CON 24 59 10 0 3 5 CON
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital LIB 57 25 11 0 3 3 LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CON 23 54 15 0 4 5 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 49 12 31 0 3 5 LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 55 17 21 0 1 6 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 55 31 10 0 2 3 LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 60 22 12 0 3 3 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Battlefords—Lloydminster CON 18 62 14 0 1 5 CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CON 15 62 15 0 1 6 CON
Cypress Hills—Grasslands CON 18 62 12 0 1 7 CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River CON 45 24 27 0 1 2 LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CON 16 55 20 0 2 6 CON
Prince Albert CON 23 49 21 0 1 5 CON
Regina—Lewvan CON 28 36 30 0 3 4 LEANS CON
Regina—Qu'Appelle CON 25 45 23 0 3 5 CON
Regina—Wascana CON 54 29 12 0 2 3 LIB
Saskatoon West CON 18 32 44 0 2 4 NDP
Saskatoon—Grasswood CON 33 33 28 0 2 3 TOSS-UP
Saskatoon—University CON 27 36 31 0 2 4 LEANS CON
Souris—Moose Mountain CON 18 66 10 0 1 5 CON
Yorkton—Melville CON 17 60 15 0 2 6 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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