Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Prairies

last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2020 at 20:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected prairies vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
26.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
29%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 29%
Change since last election: ▲9.9%
31.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
43.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
48.2%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 48.2%
Change since last election: ▼6.4%
53% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
14.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
15.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 15.9%
Change since last election: ▼4.2%
17.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
2.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 3.2%
Change since last election: ▼0.7%
3.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.7%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.7%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
4.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected prairies seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
8
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 8
Change since last election: ▲4
14 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
11 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
18
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 18
Change since last election: ▼3
24 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▼1
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Manitoba riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Brandon—Souris CON 18 66 6 0 5 5 CON
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley CON 38 34 7 0 3 17 LEANS LIB
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski NDP 34 20 41 0 3 2 LEANS NDP
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa CON 20 66 7 0 4 3 CON
Elmwood—Transcona NDP 29 34 32 0 3 2 LEANS CON
Kildonan—St. Paul CON 37 47 11 0 3 3 CON
Portage—Lisgar CON 13 76 2 0 4 6 CON
Provencher CON 21 66 7 0 3 3 CON
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital LIB 54 31 9 0 4 2 LIB
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CON 20 60 12 0 5 3 CON
Winnipeg Centre NDP 47 19 27 0 4 4 LIB
Winnipeg North LIB 52 23 19 0 2 4 LIB
Winnipeg South LIB 52 37 8 0 2 2 LIB
Winnipeg South Centre LIB 57 28 10 0 4 2 LIB

Saskatchewan riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Battlefords—Lloydminster CON 16 67 12 0 2 3 CON
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CON 13 68 13 0 2 4 CON
Cypress Hills—Grasslands CON 15 68 10 0 2 5 CON
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River CON 42 30 25 0 2 2 LIB
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CON 13 61 18 0 3 5 CON
Prince Albert CON 21 55 18 0 2 4 CON
Regina—Lewvan CON 24 41 27 0 4 3 CON
Regina—Qu'Appelle CON 22 51 20 0 4 3 CON
Regina—Wascana CON 50 34 11 0 3 2 LIB
Saskatoon West CON 16 38 40 0 3 3 LEANS NDP
Saskatoon—Grasswood CON 30 40 26 0 3 2 LEANS CON
Saskatoon—University CON 24 41 28 0 3 3 CON
Souris—Moose Mountain CON 15 72 8 0 2 3 CON
Yorkton—Melville CON 15 66 12 0 3 4 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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