Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Northern Canada
last updated: Sunday, August 16 at 00:04 (Eastern Daylight Time)
Projected Northern Canada (territories) vote totals
| PARTY | VOTE PROJECTIONS |
|---|---|
Liberal  |
36.4%
Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 40.4%
Most likely vote total: 40.4%
Change since last election: ▲5.3% 44.5%
Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval |
Conservative  |
27.9%
Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 31%
Most likely vote total: 31%
Change since last election: ▲2.1% 34.1%
Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval |
NDP  |
14.9%
Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 16.6%
Most likely vote total: 16.6%
Change since last election: ▼9.3% 18.2%
Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval |
Green  |
6.7%
Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 7.4%
Most likely vote total: 7.4%
Change since last election: ▼1.4% 8.2%
Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval |
Other  |
4.1%
Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 4.5%
Most likely vote total: 4.5%
Change since last election: ▲3.2% 5%
Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval |
Projected Northern Canada (territories) vote totals
| PARTY | SEAT PROJECTIONS |
|---|---|
| Liberal |
0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 3
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▲1 3 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval |
| Conservative |
0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0 3 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval |
| NDP |
0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▼1 2 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval |
| Green |
0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0 1 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval |
| Other |
0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0 1 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval |
Northwest Territories vote projection
| Riding name: | Incumbent | Lib. | Con. | NDP | Bloc | Green | Other | Projected winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Territories | LIB | 45 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 5 | LIB |
Nunavut vote projection
| Riding name: | Incumbent | Lib. | Con. | NDP | Bloc | Green | Other | Projected winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunavut | NDP | 36 | 30 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 2 | LEANS LIB |
Yukon vote projection
| Riding name: | Incumbent | Lib. | Con. | NDP | Bloc | Green | Other | Projected winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yukon | LIB | 39 | 34 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 5 | LEANS LIB |
Regional projections & riding-level data
What are these numbers?
The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.
The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.