Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 at 19:08 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
46.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
51.2%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 51.2%
Change since last election: ▲10.3%
56.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
16.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
18.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 18.7%
Change since last election: ▼9.9%
20.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
15.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 17%
Change since last election: ▲1.2%
18.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
9.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 10.2%
Change since last election: ▼2.1%
11.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3%
Change since last election: ▲0.6%
3.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
23 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▲2
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▼1
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 66 12 15 0 7 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 56 10 8 0 23 3 LIB
Fredericton GRN 42 21 3 0 32 3 LIB
Fundy Royal CON 35 35 12 0 13 5 TOSS-UP
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 64 16 8 0 12 0 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 44 27 10 0 10 9 LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 53 15 13 0 15 5 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 35 39 10 0 12 4 LEANS CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 47 23 14 0 8 8 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 34 40 10 0 12 3 LEANS CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 64 18 16 0 3 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 57 28 13 0 1 0 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 60 24 14 0 2 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 52 21 27 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 57 18 22 0 2 2 LIB
St. John's East NDP 35 15 49 0 1 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 60 11 27 0 0 2 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 50 23 16 0 6 5 LIB
Central Nova LIB 53 18 19 0 6 3 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 46 20 20 0 11 3 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 55 8 27 0 8 2 LIB
Halifax LIB 51 5 31 0 11 2 LIB
Halifax West LIB 60 9 20 0 10 0 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 52 15 19 0 11 3 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 58 10 17 0 13 2 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 52 18 17 0 10 3 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 34 22 22 0 4 18 LIB
West Nova CON 46 29 12 0 11 1 LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 60 19 8 0 12 2 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 60 12 7 0 20 1 LIB
Egmont LIB 51 24 7 0 17 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 52 17 8 0 23 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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