Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2020 at 20:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
47% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
52.2%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 52.2%
Change since last election: ▲11.3%
57.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
23.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 25.7%
Change since last election: ▼2.9%
28.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
13% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
14.4%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 14.4%
Change since last election: ▼1.4%
15.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
5.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.1%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.1%
Change since last election: ▼6.2%
6.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
1.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
1.6%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 1.6%
Change since last election: ▼0.8%
1.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
22 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▲2
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▼1
9 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 65 19 13 0 3 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 59 16 6 0 18 1 LIB
Fredericton GRN 45 30 1 0 22 2 LIB
Fundy Royal CON 37 43 10 0 8 3 LEANS CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 63 23 6 0 8 0 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 44 37 8 0 5 6 LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 55 22 10 0 10 2 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 36 48 7 0 6 3 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 50 30 12 0 4 5 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 33 49 8 0 8 2 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 61 24 14 0 1 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 55 35 10 0 0 0 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 59 30 10 0 1 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 52 25 23 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 55 25 19 0 1 0 LIB
St. John's East NDP 33 22 45 0 0 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 61 16 22 0 0 0 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 51 31 13 0 2 3 LIB
Central Nova LIB 56 24 17 0 2 2 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 46 28 18 0 7 2 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 55 14 25 0 4 1 LIB
Halifax LIB 55 10 26 0 7 1 LIB
Halifax West LIB 62 16 17 0 5 0 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 55 21 17 0 6 1 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 58 16 16 0 9 1 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 52 26 15 0 5 2 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 38 32 18 0 0 12 LEANS LIB
West Nova CON 48 37 10 0 6 0 LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 62 25 6 0 7 1 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 61 18 6 0 15 0 LIB
Egmont LIB 51 33 5 0 11 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 53 24 5 0 18 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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