Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Monday, June 8, 2020 at 10:52 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
51.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
56.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 56.8%
Change since last election: ▲15.9%
62.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
17.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
19.1%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 19.1%
Change since last election: ▼9.5%
21% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
9.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 10.9%
Change since last election: ▼4.9%
12% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
8.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
9.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 9.7%
Change since last election: ▼2.6%
10.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.5%
Change since last election: ▲1.1%
3.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
24 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
29
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 29
Change since last election: ▲3
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▼2
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 72 12 9 0 6 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 61 10 4 0 22 3 LIB
Fredericton GRN 45 21 1 0 30 4 LIB
Fundy Royal CON 40 36 6 0 13 5 LEANS LIB
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 68 16 3 0 11 1 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 49 28 4 0 9 10 LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 58 15 7 0 14 5 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 39 40 5 0 11 5 TOSS-UP
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 52 23 8 0 8 9 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 39 41 5 0 12 4 LEANS CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 69 18 10 0 3 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 63 28 8 0 1 1 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 65 24 8 0 2 1 LIB
Labrador LIB 59 21 19 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 63 19 14 0 2 2 LIB
St. John's East NDP 41 16 42 0 1 1 TOSS-UP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 67 11 20 0 0 2 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 55 24 10 0 6 6 LIB
Central Nova LIB 59 19 13 0 5 4 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 52 21 13 0 11 4 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 62 8 20 0 7 3 LIB
Halifax LIB 58 5 23 0 11 3 LIB
Halifax West LIB 67 10 14 0 9 1 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 58 16 12 0 10 3 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 64 11 11 0 12 3 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 58 18 11 0 9 4 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 39 22 14 0 3 21 LIB
West Nova CON 51 30 7 0 10 2 LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 65 19 3 0 11 2 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 64 12 3 0 19 2 LIB
Egmont LIB 57 24 2 0 16 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 57 17 3 0 22 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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