Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Friday, February 14, 2020 at 20:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
36% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
40%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 40%
Change since last election: ▼0.9%
44% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
22.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
24.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 24.7%
Change since last election: ▼3.9%
27.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
19.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
21.3%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 21.3%
Change since last election: ▲5.5%
23.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
10.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
11.3%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 11.3%
Change since last election: ▼1%
12.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.6%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 2.6%
Change since last election: ▲0.2%
2.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
13 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
25
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 25
Change since last election: ▼1
27 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
5
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 5
Change since last election: ▲1
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
9 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲1
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
AcadieóBathurst LIB 54 18 20 0 8 0 LIB
BeausÈjour LIB 46 15 12 0 25 2 LIB
Fredericton GRN 31 27 6 0 34 3 LEANS GRN
Fundy Royal CON 23 43 15 0 14 4 CON
MadawaskaóRestigouche LIB 53 22 11 0 14 0 LIB
MiramichióGrand Lake LIB 33 34 13 0 11 8 TOSS-UP
MonctonóRiverviewóDieppe LIB 42 21 17 0 16 4 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 25 45 13 0 13 4 CON
Saint JohnóRothesay LIB 36 30 18 0 9 7 LEANS LIB
TobiqueóMactaquac CON 24 48 13 0 13 3 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 53 24 20 0 4 0 LIB
BonavistaóBurinóTrinity LIB 45 36 17 0 2 0 LEANS LIB
Coast of BaysóCentralóNotre Dame LIB 48 30 18 0 3 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 40 27 32 0 1 0 LEANS LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 45 24 27 0 3 1 LIB
St. John's East NDP 24 21 54 0 1 0 NDP
St. John's SouthóMount Pearl LIB 48 16 33 0 1 1 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape BretonóCanso LIB 39 29 21 0 7 4 LEANS LIB
Central Nova LIB 42 24 24 0 7 3 LIB
CumberlandóColchester LIB 35 26 24 0 12 3 LEANS LIB
DartmouthóCole Harbour LIB 44 13 32 0 9 2 LIB
Halifax LIB 40 9 37 0 12 2 LEANS LIB
Halifax West LIB 49 15 26 0 11 0 LIB
KingsóHants LIB 41 21 24 0 12 2 LIB
SackvilleóPrestonóChezzetcook LIB 46 15 22 0 14 2 LIB
South ShoreóSt. Margarets LIB 41 24 21 0 11 3 LIB
SydneyóVictoria LIB 24 28 26 0 4 16 LEANS CON
West Nova CON 36 35 16 0 12 1 TOSS-UP

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 48 26 12 0 13 1 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 49 17 11 0 22 1 LIB
Egmont LIB 39 30 11 0 19 0 LEANS LIB
Malpeque LIB 41 23 11 0 25 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!