Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Sunday, August 16 at 00:04 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
46.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
51.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 51.4%
Change since last election: ▲10.5%
56.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
24.2%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 24.2%
Change since last election: ▼4.4%
26.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
12.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
14.1%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 14.1%
Change since last election: ▼1.7%
15.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
7.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 7.7%
Change since last election: ▼4.6%
8.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.6%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 2.6%
Change since last election: ▲0.2%
2.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
20 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▲2
32 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▼1
11 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 66 17 12 0 5 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 57 14 6 0 20 2 LIB
Fredericton GRN 43 27 1 0 26 3 LIB
Fundy Royal CON 35 42 9 0 10 4 LEANS CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 63 22 6 0 10 0 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 44 34 7 0 7 8 LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 54 20 10 0 12 4 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 34 46 8 0 8 4 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 47 29 11 0 6 7 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 33 48 7 0 9 3 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 63 22 13 0 2 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 56 34 10 0 0 0 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 59 29 11 0 1 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 52 25 23 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 56 24 18 0 1 1 LIB
St. John's East NDP 34 21 45 0 1 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 60 15 23 0 0 1 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 50 29 14 0 4 4 LIB
Central Nova LIB 54 23 16 0 4 3 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 46 27 17 0 8 3 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 56 12 24 0 6 2 LIB
Halifax LIB 53 9 27 0 9 2 LIB
Halifax West LIB 61 15 17 0 7 0 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 53 20 16 0 8 2 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 58 15 15 0 10 2 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 52 24 14 0 7 3 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 35 29 18 0 1 17 LEANS LIB
West Nova CON 46 35 10 0 8 1 LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 60 24 6 0 9 1 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 59 17 6 0 17 1 LIB
Egmont LIB 51 30 5 0 14 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 52 22 5 0 20 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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