Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
42.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
47.2%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 47.2%
Change since last election: ▲6.3%
51.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
23.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.9%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 25.9%
Change since last election: ▼2.7%
28.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
15.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
16.8%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 16.8%
Change since last election: ▲1%
18.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
6.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.8%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.8%
Change since last election: ▼5.5%
7.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.3%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
3.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▲2
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
3
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 3
Change since last election: ▼1
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
3 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 62 19 15 0 4 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 54 16 8 0 19 3 LIB
Fredericton GRN 40 29 3 0 24 4 LIB
Fundy Royal CON 31 43 12 0 9 5 CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 59 24 8 0 9 1 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 40 36 9 0 6 9 LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 50 22 12 0 11 5 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 31 47 10 0 7 5 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 43 30 14 0 5 8 LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 28 51 9 0 8 3 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 59 24 15 0 1 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 51 36 12 0 0 0 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 55 31 13 0 1 0 LIB
Labrador LIB 47 26 26 0 0 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 50 26 22 0 1 2 LIB
St. John's East NDP 30 22 47 0 0 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 56 17 26 0 0 2 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 45 30 16 0 3 5 LIB
Central Nova LIB 50 24 19 0 3 4 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 41 29 20 0 7 3 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 52 14 27 0 5 2 LIB
Halifax LIB 49 10 30 0 8 2 LIB
Halifax West LIB 57 16 21 0 6 0 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 49 21 19 0 7 3 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 53 17 18 0 9 3 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 48 25 17 0 6 4 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 31 30 20 0 0 19 TOSS-UP
West Nova CON 42 37 12 0 6 2 LEANS LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 56 26 8 0 8 2 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 55 19 8 0 16 2 LIB
Egmont LIB 48 32 7 0 12 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 49 24 7 0 19 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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