Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Sunday, April 12, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
39.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
44.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 44.4%
Change since last election: ▲3.5%
48.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
23.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
26%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 26%
Change since last election: ▼2.6%
28.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
11.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
12.5%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 12.5%
Change since last election: ▼3.3%
13.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
12.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
13.6%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 13.6%
Change since last election: ▲1.3%
15% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.5%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.5%
Change since last election: ▲1.1%
3.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
17 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
26
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 26
Change since last election: ▲0
30 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
4
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 4
Change since last election: ▲0
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲1
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst LIB 59 19 11 0 10 0 LIB
Beauséjour LIB 49 16 5 0 27 3 LIB
Fredericton GRN 33 26 1 0 36 4 LEANS GRN
Fundy Royal CON 27 44 7 0 17 5 CON
Madawaska—Restigouche LIB 56 23 4 0 16 1 LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake LIB 37 35 5 0 12 10 LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe LIB 46 21 9 0 19 5 LIB
New Brunswick Southwest CON 28 46 6 0 15 5 CON
Saint John—Rothesay LIB 39 31 9 0 11 9 LEANS LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac CON 27 49 6 0 15 3 CON

Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Avalon LIB 58 25 12 0 5 0 LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity LIB 50 37 9 0 4 0 LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame LIB 53 32 10 0 5 1 LIB
Labrador LIB 46 29 21 0 3 0 LIB
Long Range Mountains LIB 51 26 16 0 4 2 LIB
St. John's East NDP 30 23 44 0 3 0 NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl LIB 55 17 23 0 3 2 LIB

Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso LIB 43 31 12 0 9 6 LIB
Central Nova LIB 47 26 15 0 9 4 LIB
Cumberland—Colchester LIB 40 28 14 0 15 3 LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LIB 50 14 23 0 11 3 LIB
Halifax LIB 46 10 26 0 15 3 LIB
Halifax West LIB 54 16 16 0 13 1 LIB
Kings—Hants LIB 46 23 14 0 14 3 LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook LIB 51 17 13 0 17 3 LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets LIB 45 25 12 0 13 4 LIB
Sydney—Victoria LIB 28 30 16 0 6 20 LEANS CON
West Nova CON 39 37 8 0 14 2 LEANS LIB

Prince Edward Island (PEI) riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Cardigan LIB 52 27 4 0 15 2 LIB
Charlottetown LIB 52 18 4 0 24 2 LIB
Egmont LIB 43 31 3 0 22 0 LIB
Malpeque LIB 45 23 4 0 27 0 LIB

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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