Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 20:15 (Eastern Daylight Time)

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[dylan_page_title title=”Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

PARTY	VOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal	42% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 46.6% Most likely vote total: 46.6% Change since last election: ▲5.7% 51.3% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Conservative	23.2% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 25.8% Most likely vote total: 25.8% Change since last election: ▼2.8% 28.3% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
NDP	13.9% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 15.4% Most likely vote total: 15.4% Change since last election: ▼0.4% 16.9% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Green	7.6% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 8.4% Most likely vote total: 8.4% Change since last election: ▼3.9% 9.3% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Other	3.4% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 3.8% Most likely vote total: 3.8% Change since last election: ▲1.4% 4.2% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval

[dylan_page_title title=”Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

PARTY	SEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal	19 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 28 Most likely seat total: 28 Change since last election: ▲2 31 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Conservative	1 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 3 Most likely seat total: 3 Change since last election: ▼1 12 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
NDP	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 1 Most likely seat total: 1 Change since last election: ▲0 5 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Green	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0 Most likely seat total: 0 Change since last election: ▲0 3 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Other	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0 Most likely seat total: 0 Change since last election: ▲0 2 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval

[dylan_page_title title=”Trend lines of all regional polls published” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

[dylan_page_title title=”New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst	LIB	62	19	14	5	1	LIB
Beauséjour	LIB	53	16	7	21	3	LIB
Fredericton	GRN	38	28	2	28	4	LEANS LIB
Fundy Royal	CON	30	44	10	11	6	CON
Madawaska—Restigouche	LIB	59	23	7	11	1	LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake	LIB	39	35	8	7	11	LEANS LIB
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe	LIB	49	21	11	13	6	LIB
New Brunswick Southwest	CON	30	47	9	9	5	CON
Saint John—Rothesay	LIB	42	30	12	7	9	LIB
Tobique—Mactaquac	CON	29	49	8	10	4	CON

[dylan_page_title title=”Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Avalon	LIB	59	24	14	2	0	LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity	LIB	51	36	12	0	1	LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame	LIB	55	31	12	1	1	LIB
Labrador	LIB	47	28	25	0	1	LIB
Long Range Mountains	LIB	51	26	20	1	2	LIB
St. John's East	NDP	30	22	46	1	1	NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl	LIB	56	17	25	0	2	LIB

[dylan_page_title title=”Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso	LIB	45	30	15	4	6	LIB
Central Nova	LIB	49	25	18	4	4	LIB
Cumberland—Colchester	LIB	41	28	18	9	4	LIB
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour	LIB	51	14	26	6	3	LIB
Halifax	LIB	48	10	29	10	3	LIB
Halifax West	LIB	56	16	19	8	1	LIB
Kings—Hants	LIB	48	22	17	9	4	LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook	LIB	53	17	16	11	3	LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets	LIB	48	25	15	8	4	LIB
Sydney—Victoria	LIB	30	29	19	2	21	TOSS-UP
West Nova	CON	42	37	11	8	2	LEANS LIB