Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 at 19:08 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
24% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
26.6%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 26.6%
Change since last election: ▲12.9%
29.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
43.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
48.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 48.5%
Change since last election: ▼20.7%
53.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
16.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 17.9%
Change since last election: ▲6.4%
19.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
2.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.5%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.5%
Change since last election: ▼0.4%
2.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4.4%
Change since last election: ▲1.7%
4.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
7
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 7
Change since last election: ▲7
13 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
25
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 25
Change since last election: ▼8
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲1
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 23 50 18 0 4 6 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 13 67 12 0 3 5 CON
Bow River CON 19 63 11 0 1 6 CON
Calgary Centre CON 43 35 15 0 4 4 LEANS LIB
Calgary Confederation CON 36 35 17 0 8 4 TOSS-UP
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 37 36 17 0 3 7 TOSS-UP
Calgary Heritage CON 27 50 15 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 23 54 16 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 29 49 15 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 32 48 14 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 23 54 16 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 29 49 14 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 39 33 22 0 1 4 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Centre CON 48 21 26 0 2 4 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 29 32 33 0 2 5 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Manning CON 36 32 26 0 2 4 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 50 29 16 0 1 3 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 34 38 23 0 3 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 29 24 43 0 1 3 NDP
Edmonton West CON 33 40 21 0 2 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 25 51 19 0 2 4 CON
Foothills CON 16 63 13 0 3 5 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 22 59 11 0 2 6 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 15 66 13 0 2 5 CON
Lakeland CON 13 67 12 0 2 5 CON
Lethbridge CON 26 43 23 0 3 5 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 17 60 15 0 2 5 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 19 60 14 0 2 5 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 15 61 15 0 2 6 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 15 63 13 0 3 6 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 22 52 20 0 2 4 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 33 46 19 0 2 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 19 56 17 0 2 5 CON
Yellowhead CON 15 64 13 0 2 6 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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