Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Sunday, August 16 at 00:04 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
23.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
25.7%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 25.7%
Change since last election: ▲12%
28.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
45.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
50.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 50.5%
Change since last election: ▼18.7%
55.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
13.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
14.8%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 14.8%
Change since last election: ▲3.3%
16.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.2%
Change since last election: ▼0.7%
2.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
6.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.7%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 6.7%
Change since last election: ▲4%
7.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
1 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
5
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 5
Change since last election: ▲5
12 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
28
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 28
Change since last election: ▼5
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 22 52 15 0 4 9 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 13 69 9 0 2 7 CON
Bow River CON 17 65 9 0 1 8 CON
Calgary Centre CON 42 37 12 0 3 6 LEANS LIB
Calgary Confederation CON 35 37 14 0 7 6 LEANS CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 35 38 14 0 2 11 LEANS CON
Calgary Heritage CON 26 52 12 0 3 7 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 22 55 13 0 2 6 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 28 51 13 0 2 6 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 31 50 11 0 2 6 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 22 56 13 0 2 6 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 28 51 11 0 3 7 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 38 35 19 0 1 7 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Centre CON 47 23 22 0 2 6 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 28 34 29 0 2 7 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 35 34 22 0 2 7 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 49 31 13 0 1 5 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 33 40 20 0 2 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 29 26 39 0 1 6 LEANS NDP
Edmonton West CON 32 43 18 0 2 6 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 24 53 16 0 1 6 CON
Foothills CON 15 65 9 0 3 7 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 21 61 9 0 1 8 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 14 67 10 0 1 7 CON
Lakeland CON 13 69 10 0 2 8 CON
Lethbridge CON 25 46 19 0 2 7 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 16 62 12 0 2 8 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 18 61 11 0 2 8 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 14 62 12 0 2 9 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 14 65 11 0 3 8 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 21 54 17 0 2 6 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 32 49 17 0 2 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 18 58 14 0 2 8 CON
Yellowhead CON 14 65 10 0 2 9 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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