Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Friday, February 14, 2020 at 20:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
18% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 20%
Change since last election: ▲6.3%
22% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
51.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
56.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 56.7%
Change since last election: ▼12.5%
62.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
14.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
16.3%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 16.3%
Change since last election: ▲4.8%
18% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
2.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 3%
Change since last election: ▲0.1%
3.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4%
Change since last election: ▲1.3%
4.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲2
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
24 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
31
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 31
Change since last election: ▼2
34 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
BanffóAirdrie CON 16 58 16 0 4 5 CON
Battle RiveróCrowfoot CON 8 75 10 0 3 4 CON
Bow River CON 12 72 10 0 2 5 CON
Calgary Centre CON 35 44 14 0 4 3 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation CON 29 43 15 0 9 4 CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 29 45 16 0 3 7 CON
Calgary Heritage CON 20 58 14 0 4 4 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 17 62 15 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 22 57 14 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 25 57 13 0 3 3 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 17 62 14 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 22 58 13 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 33 41 21 0 2 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Centre CON 40 29 25 0 2 3 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 22 39 31 0 3 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 28 41 24 0 2 4 CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 42 37 15 0 2 3 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 28 45 21 0 3 3 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 23 31 41 0 2 3 NDP
Edmonton West CON 26 49 19 0 3 3 CON
EdmontonóWetaskiwin CON 18 59 17 0 2 4 CON
Foothills CON 11 71 11 0 4 4 CON
Fort McMurrayóCold Lake CON 15 68 10 0 2 5 CON
Grande PrairieóMackenzie CON 9 73 11 0 2 4 CON
Lakeland CON 9 74 11 0 2 5 CON
Lethbridge CON 20 52 21 0 3 4 CON
Medicine HatóCardstonóWarner CON 12 68 13 0 2 5 CON
Peace RiveróWestlock CON 12 68 12 0 3 5 CON
Red DeeróLacombe CON 10 68 14 0 2 6 CON
Red DeeróMountain View CON 10 70 12 0 3 5 CON
Sherwood ParkóFort Saskatchewan CON 16 60 18 0 2 4 CON
St. AlbertóEdmonton CON 25 54 18 0 2 0 CON
Sturgeon RiveróParkland CON 13 65 15 0 3 5 CON
Yellowhead CON 10 71 11 0 2 5 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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