Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Monday, June 8, 2020 at 10:52 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
21.4%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 21.4%
Change since last election: ▲7.7%
23.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
47% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
52.3%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 52.3%
Change since last election: ▼16.9%
57.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
15.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
17.3%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 17.3%
Change since last election: ▲5.8%
19% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
5.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
6.1%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 6.1%
Change since last election: ▲3.2%
6.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3%
Change since last election: ▲0.3%
3.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲2
10 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
23 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
31
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 31
Change since last election: ▼2
33 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 18 53 17 0 8 4 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 10 70 11 0 6 3 CON
Bow River CON 13 68 11 0 4 4 CON
Calgary Centre CON 37 39 15 0 7 3 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation CON 30 38 16 0 14 3 LEANS CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 31 41 17 0 7 5 LEANS CON
Calgary Heritage CON 22 54 14 0 7 3 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 18 57 15 0 7 3 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 24 53 15 0 6 3 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 26 52 14 0 6 2 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 18 58 15 0 6 3 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 23 53 14 0 7 3 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 34 37 22 0 4 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton Centre CON 42 25 26 0 5 2 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 24 35 32 0 5 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 30 37 25 0 5 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 44 33 16 0 4 2 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 29 41 22 0 6 2 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 24 27 43 0 5 2 NDP
Edmonton West CON 28 44 20 0 5 2 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 20 55 18 0 5 3 CON
Foothills CON 12 66 12 0 7 3 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 17 64 11 0 5 4 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 11 69 12 0 5 3 CON
Lakeland CON 10 70 12 0 5 4 CON
Lethbridge CON 21 47 22 0 6 3 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 13 64 15 0 5 4 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 13 64 13 0 6 4 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 11 64 15 0 6 4 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 11 66 12 0 7 4 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 17 56 19 0 5 3 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 27 50 19 0 5 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 14 60 16 0 6 3 CON
Yellowhead CON 11 67 12 0 6 4 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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