Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
24.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
27.7%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 27.7%
Change since last election: ▲14%
30.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
44.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
49.9%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 49.9%
Change since last election: ▼19.3%
54.9% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
14.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
15.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 15.9%
Change since last election: ▲4.4%
17.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
1.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2.1%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2.1%
Change since last election: ▼0.8%
2.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.4%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4.4%
Change since last election: ▲1.7%
4.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
2 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
7
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 7
Change since last election: ▲7
13 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
21 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
26
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 26
Change since last election: ▼7
31 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 24 51 16 0 3 6 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 14 69 10 0 2 5 CON
Bow River CON 19 64 10 0 1 5 CON
Calgary Centre CON 44 36 13 0 3 4 LEANS LIB
Calgary Confederation CON 38 37 15 0 7 4 TOSS-UP
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 38 37 15 0 2 7 TOSS-UP
Calgary Heritage CON 28 52 13 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 24 55 14 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 31 50 14 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 33 49 12 0 2 3 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 24 56 14 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 30 50 12 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 40 34 20 0 1 4 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Centre CON 49 22 23 0 2 4 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 30 33 30 0 2 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 37 34 23 0 2 4 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 51 30 14 0 1 3 LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 35 39 21 0 2 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 30 25 40 0 1 3 LEANS NDP
Edmonton West CON 34 42 19 0 2 3 LEANS CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 26 52 17 0 1 4 CON
Foothills CON 17 65 10 0 3 5 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 23 61 10 0 1 6 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 15 68 11 0 1 5 CON
Lakeland CON 14 69 11 0 1 5 CON
Lethbridge CON 27 45 21 0 2 5 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 18 62 13 0 2 5 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 20 61 12 0 2 5 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 16 63 14 0 2 6 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 16 65 12 0 2 6 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 23 54 18 0 2 4 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 34 47 18 0 2 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 20 58 15 0 2 5 CON
Yellowhead CON 16 65 11 0 2 6 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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