Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2020 at 20:25 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
20.1% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
22.3%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 22.3%
Change since last election: ▲8.6%
24.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
51% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
56.7%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 56.7%
Change since last election: ▼12.5%
62.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
13.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
15%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 15%
Change since last election: ▲3.5%
16.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
1.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 2%
Change since last election: ▼0.9%
2.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.1%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4.1%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
4.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲2
8 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
25 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
31
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 31
Change since last election: ▼2
34 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 19 58 15 0 3 5 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 10 75 9 0 2 4 CON
Bow River CON 14 71 9 0 1 5 CON
Calgary Centre CON 38 43 13 0 3 3 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation CON 32 43 14 0 7 4 CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 32 45 14 0 2 7 CON
Calgary Heritage CON 23 58 12 0 3 4 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 19 62 13 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 25 57 13 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 27 56 12 0 2 3 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 19 62 13 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 24 57 12 0 2 4 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 35 41 19 0 1 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Centre CON 43 28 23 0 2 3 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 25 39 29 0 2 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 31 41 22 0 1 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 45 37 14 0 1 3 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 30 45 20 0 2 3 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 26 31 39 0 1 3 LEANS NDP
Edmonton West CON 29 49 18 0 2 3 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 21 59 16 0 1 4 CON
Foothills CON 12 71 9 0 3 4 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 18 67 9 0 1 5 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 11 73 10 0 1 4 CON
Lakeland CON 10 74 10 0 1 5 CON
Lethbridge CON 22 52 20 0 2 4 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 13 68 12 0 2 5 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 14 68 11 0 2 5 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 12 69 12 0 2 6 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 11 70 11 0 2 5 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 18 60 17 0 1 4 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 28 54 17 0 2 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 15 65 14 0 2 5 CON
Yellowhead CON 12 71 10 0 1 6 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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