Next Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Sunday, April 12, 2020 at 16:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
19.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
21.8%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 21.8%
Change since last election: ▲8.1%
24% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
50.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
55.8%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 55.8%
Change since last election: ▼13.4%
61.4% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
12.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
13.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 13.9%
Change since last election: ▲2.4%
15.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
3.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.3%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 4.3%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
4.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.1%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 4.1%
Change since last election: ▲1.4%
4.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
2
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 2
Change since last election: ▲2
9 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
24 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
31
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 31
Change since last election: ▼2
34 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 18 57 14 0 6 5 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 10 74 8 0 4 4 CON
Bow River CON 14 71 8 0 3 5 CON
Calgary Centre CON 37 42 12 0 5 4 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation CON 31 42 13 0 11 4 CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 31 44 13 0 5 7 CON
Calgary Heritage CON 22 58 11 0 5 4 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 18 61 12 0 5 4 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 24 56 12 0 4 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 26 55 11 0 4 3 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 19 61 12 0 5 4 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 24 57 10 0 5 4 CON
Calgary Skyview CON 35 40 18 0 3 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Centre CON 43 28 22 0 4 4 LIB
Edmonton Griesbach CON 25 39 28 0 4 5 CON
Edmonton Manning CON 31 40 21 0 4 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Mill Woods CON 45 36 13 0 3 3 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Riverbend CON 30 45 19 0 5 3 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 25 31 38 0 3 3 LEANS NDP
Edmonton West CON 28 48 17 0 4 3 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 20 58 15 0 3 4 CON
Foothills CON 12 70 8 0 5 4 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 17 67 8 0 3 5 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 11 72 9 0 3 4 CON
Lakeland CON 10 73 9 0 3 5 CON
Lethbridge CON 22 51 18 0 5 4 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 13 67 11 0 4 5 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 14 67 10 0 4 5 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 11 68 11 0 4 6 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 11 69 10 0 5 5 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 17 60 16 0 4 4 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 27 53 16 0 4 0 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 14 64 13 0 4 5 CON
Yellowhead CON 11 70 9 0 4 6 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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