2019 Canadian Federal Election Region: Atlantic Canada

last updated: Monday, October 21, 2019 at 16:05 (Eastern Daylight Time)

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[dylan_page_title title=”Projected Atlantic Canada vote totals” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

PARTY	VOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal	36.3% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 40.4% Most likely vote total: 40.4% Change since last election: ▼18.4% 44.4% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Conservative	24.4% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 27.2% Most likely vote total: 27.2% Change since last election: ▲8.2% 29.9% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
NDP	17.3% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 19.2% Most likely vote total: 19.2% Change since last election: ▲1.3% 21.1% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Green	10.1% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 11.2% Most likely vote total: 11.2% Change since last election: ▲7.7% 12.4% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval
Other	1.8% Lowest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval 2% Most likely vote total: 2% Change since last election: ▲1.2% 2.2% Highest projected vote total @ 90% confidence interval

[dylan_page_title title=”Projected Atlantic Canada seat totals” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

PARTY	SEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal	13 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 22 Most likely seat total: 22 Change since last election: ▼10 28 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Conservative	2 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 7 Most likely seat total: 7 Change since last election: ▲7 15 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
NDP	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 3 Most likely seat total: 3 Change since last election: ▲3 9 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Green	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0 Most likely seat total: 0 Change since last election: ▲0 4 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval
Other	0 Lowest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval 0 Most likely seat total: 0 Change since last election: ▲0 1 Highest projected seat total @ 90% confidence interval

[dylan_page_title title=”Trend lines of all regional polls published” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

[dylan_page_title title=”New Brunswick riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Acadie—Bathurst	LIB	46	11	35	7	1	LIB
Beauséjour	LIB	50	19	18	12	2	LIB
Fredericton	LIB	32	32	10	26	1	TOSS-UP
Fundy Royal	LIB	18	44	18	17	3	CON
Madawaska—Restigouche	LIB	34	31	27	7	2	LEANS LIB
Miramichi—Grand Lake	LIB	36	41	14	8	1	LEANS CON
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe	LIB	39	30	18	12	2	LEANS LIB
New Brunswick Southwest	LIB	25	41	21	12	1	CON
Saint John—Rothesay	LIB	26	38	19	16	1	CON
Tobique—Mactaquac	LIB	20	58	10	11	1	CON

[dylan_page_title title=”Newfoundland and Labrador riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Avalon	LIB	62	14	13	3	8	LIB
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity	LIB	62	18	10	8	2	LIB
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame	LIB	54	27	13	5	1	LIB
Labrador	LIB	51	23	21	5	1	LIB
Long Range Mountains	LIB	48	29	13	9	2	LIB
St. John's East	LIB	34	18	41	5	2	LEANS NDP
St. John's South—Mount Pearl	LIB	40	10	40	8	2	TOSS-UP

[dylan_page_title title=”Nova Scotia riding-by-riding vote projection” font_weight=”font-weight-400″]

Riding name:	Incumbent	Lib.	Con.	NDP	Green	Other	Projected winner
Cape Breton—Canso	LIB	52	22	16	10	1	LIB
Central Nova	LIB	32	30	16	18	4	TOSS-UP
Cumberland—Colchester	LIB	36	41	11	9	2	LEANS CON
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour	LIB	52	17	21	9	1	LIB
Halifax	LIB	34	14	38	10	3	LEANS NDP
Halifax West	LIB	46	22	21	11	1	LIB
Kings—Hants	LIB	48	25	6	17	4	LIB
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook	LIB	32	24	26	17	2	LEANS LIB
South Shore—St. Margarets	LIB	49	26	15	8	3	LIB
Sydney—Victoria	LIB	47	23	15	10	5	LIB
West Nova	LIB	42	32	13	12	1	LEANS LIB