2019 Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Friday, September 20, 2019 at 07:00 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
18.7% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
20.7%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 20.7%
Change since last election: ▼3.8%
22.8% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
53.6% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
59.6%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 59.6%
Change since last election: ▲0%
65.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
9.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
10.2%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 10.2%
Change since last election: ▼1.5%
11.2% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
5.2% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
5.7%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 5.7%
Change since last election: ▲3.2%
6.3% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
3.4% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.8%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.8%
Change since last election: ▲2.1%
4.1% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▼3
7 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
25 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
32
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 32
Change since last election: ▲3
34 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
4 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
2 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie Con. 23 63 6 0 7 1 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot Con. 7 80 5 0 7 2 CON
Bow River Con. 10 77 4 0 5 4 CON
Calgary Centre Lib. 43 46 4 0 5 2 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation Con. 38 47 6 0 7 2 CON
Calgary Forest Lawn Con. 31 47 9 0 6 7 CON
Calgary Heritage Con. 23 63 6 0 5 3 CON
Calgary Midnapore Con. 18 67 7 0 6 2 CON
Calgary Nose Hill Con. 22 60 7 0 6 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge Con. 26 62 5 0 5 2 CON
Calgary Shepard Con. 21 66 6 0 6 1 CON
Calgary Signal Hill Con. 28 60 3 0 6 4 CON
Calgary Skyview Lib. 41 38 7 0 5 9 LEANS LIB
Edmonton Centre Lib. 34 36 23 0 6 1 LEANS CON
Edmonton Griesbach Con. 17 42 31 0 5 4 CON
Edmonton Manning Con. 24 46 24 0 6 1 CON
Edmonton Mill Woods Lib. 39 40 11 0 5 5 TOSS-UP
Edmonton Riverbend Con. 26 51 15 0 6 2 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 17 30 43 0 5 4 NDP
Edmonton West Con. 30 52 11 0 5 3 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin Con. 18 65 9 0 6 2 CON
Foothills Con. 11 74 5 0 7 3 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake Con. 24 61 7 0 5 4 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie Con. 12 73 7 0 6 3 CON
Lakeland Con. 9 74 8 0 5 3 CON
Lethbridge Con. 15 55 20 0 6 4 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner Con. 15 68 8 0 6 3 CON
Peace River—Westlock Con. 9 70 13 0 6 3 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe Con. 12 71 10 0 6 1 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View Con. 9 75 7 0 6 3 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan Con. 17 62 9 0 6 7 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton Con. 20 44 9 0 4 23 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland Con. 11 70 9 0 7 3 CON
Yellowhead Con. 11 72 7 0 6 4 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!