2019 Canadian Federal Election Region: Alberta

last updated: Monday, October 21, 2019 at 16:05 (Eastern Daylight Time)

Projected Alberta vote totals

PARTYVOTE PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
14.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
16.1%
Liberal logo
Most likely vote total: 16.1%
Change since last election: ▼8.4%
17.7% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
54.5% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
60.5%
Tory logo
Most likely vote total: 60.5%
Change since last election: ▲0.9%
66.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
14.3% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
15.9%
NDP logo
Most likely vote total: 15.9%
Change since last election: ▲4.2%
17.5% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
3.8% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
4.2%
Green logo
Most likely vote total: 4.2%
Change since last election: ▲1.7%
4.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
2.9% Lowest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval
3.3%
All other parties
Most likely vote total: 3.3%
Change since last election: ▲1.6%
3.6% Highest projected vote total
@ 90% confidence interval

Projected Alberta seat totals

PARTYSEAT PROJECTIONS
Liberal Liberal logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Liberal logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▼4
6 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Conservative Tory logo
27 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
33
Tory logo
Most likely seat total: 33
Change since last election: ▲4
34 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
NDP NDP logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
1
NDP logo
Most likely seat total: 1
Change since last election: ▲0
5 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Green Bloc logo
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
Green logo
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
Other All other parties
0 Lowest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval
0
All other parties
Most likely seat total: 0
Change since last election: ▲0
1 Highest projected seat total
@ 90% confidence interval

Trend lines of all regional polls published

Alberta riding-by-riding vote projection

Riding name: Incumbent Lib. Con. NDP Bloc Green Other Projected winner
Banff—Airdrie CON 18 63 12 0 6 1 CON
Battle River—Crowfoot CON 4 80 10 0 5 1 CON
Bow River CON 5 78 9 0 4 4 CON
Calgary Centre LIB 38 47 9 0 4 2 LEANS CON
Calgary Confederation CON 31 52 11 0 5 2 CON
Calgary Forest Lawn CON 25 47 16 0 5 7 CON
Calgary Heritage CON 19 64 11 0 4 2 CON
Calgary Midnapore CON 14 68 12 0 5 1 CON
Calgary Nose Hill CON 18 61 13 0 4 4 CON
Calgary Rocky Ridge CON 20 66 9 0 4 1 CON
Calgary Shepard CON 17 66 12 0 4 1 CON
Calgary Signal Hill CON 23 61 9 0 4 3 CON
Calgary Skyview LIB 36 39 13 0 4 8 LEANS CON
Edmonton Centre LIB 28 35 31 0 4 1 LEANS CON
Edmonton Griesbach CON 12 42 39 0 4 4 LEANS CON
Edmonton Manning CON 18 44 34 0 4 1 CON
Edmonton Mill Woods LIB 34 40 16 0 4 5 LEANS CON
Edmonton Riverbend CON 21 50 23 0 4 2 CON
Edmonton Strathcona NDP 17 37 37 0 4 4 TOSS-UP
Edmonton West CON 23 54 17 0 3 3 CON
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin CON 14 65 16 0 4 2 CON
Foothills CON 7 75 10 0 5 3 CON
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CON 19 61 12 0 3 4 CON
Grande Prairie—Mackenzie CON 8 73 12 0 5 3 CON
Lakeland CON 6 75 13 0 4 3 CON
Lethbridge CON 10 53 29 0 4 4 CON
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CON 11 69 13 0 4 2 CON
Peace River—Westlock CON 4 69 20 0 5 2 CON
Red Deer—Lacombe CON 8 71 16 0 4 1 CON
Red Deer—Mountain View CON 6 76 11 0 4 3 CON
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CON 12 62 16 0 4 6 CON
St. Albert—Edmonton CON 15 53 14 0 3 15 CON
Sturgeon River—Parkland CON 7 70 15 0 6 3 CON
Yellowhead CON 7 72 13 0 4 4 CON

What are these numbers?

The data you see here represents a projection of likely election outcomes in each riding using statistical methodology based on all publicly available polling data. CalculatedPolitics.ca is not a polling firm itself.

The accuracy of these projections is dependent upon the overall accuracy of the polling industry and we make no assurances of the polling industry’s accuracy in this or any other election.

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